Colts Football

Dennis Arthur asked:


One thing that quickly becomes apparent when digging into NFL game data from the past decade-and-a-half is the fact that underdogs have had a decided edge versus the spread.

Since 1994, there have only been 3 seasons where favourites actually turned a profit overall (1998, 2005 and 2007) while a total of 8 seasons during this same time period saw underdogs top the 52.4% break-even mark.

The public loves to bet on the perennial upper-echelon teams such as the Patriots and Colts, among others, and the overall record of favourites in the past 14 years is a testament to this fact.

Despite the inherent bias towards the popular teams, there are still quite a few profitable situations in the NFL that play on good teams–situations that have produced consistent winning records each year, regardless of whether it’s a season that is leaning towards favourites or underdogs in general.

The situation that is the focus of this article involves teams with a straight-up winning percentage >= .600 and happens to be a nifty 141-45 ATS since ‘94 (and 24-6 ATS in 2007 alone), when a few other related conditions are added into the mix.

Over the past 14 years, teams with a SU WP >= .600 have been a losing proposition with a record of 1321-1327 ATS. Things only begin to get interesting when we specify that this team must also have a higher Team Momentum Indicator than their current opponent.

For those not familiar with TMI’s-they are a custom measurement that I have developed to gauge recent team performance on both sides of the ball and they work very well in conjunction with many of my full-season measurements of team skill.

A TMI above 0 is a marker of teams that have been playing well in the past few games, with a balanced rushing and passing attack, while a TMI below 0 indicates the opposite. This indicator normally has a value that falls in the range of -20 to +20.

By adding this condition, we are essentially making sure that this team has been playing better of late, than their current opponent.

Teams with a SU WP > .600 and a higher TMI are 772-687 (52.9%) ATS–good enough for a profit of $1,630.00 with wagers of $110 to win back $100 on each game.
This trend still involves a lot of games and there are 2 other primary conditions that need to be added to whittle things down to something more manageable.

The first is that the opponent of our winning team has a turn-over differential (TOD) of greater than 0.

Teams with a TOD above 0 will sometimes have an inflated won/loss record due to their positive takeaway/giveaway ratio and as a result, they may be perceived more favourably by the betting public than they should be. This can lead to a situation where there is line value in betting against this team.

After adding this 3rd condition, the record of this trend improves greatly to 363-262 (58.1%) ATS since 94, for a tidy profit of $7,480.00.

The last primary condition involves the specification that this team has a season kick-off return average (KRYF) of at least 22 yards, which happens to be the average for this particular stat. The record for this trend jumps to 226-130 (63.5%) ATS once this condition is added.

KRYF is an interesting statistic that crops up in a few of my situational trends. In this case, we are making sure that this winning team also has a strong special teams unit on kick-off returns, which coupled with the other 3 factors, makes for a powerful trend.

Finally, there are a couple of smaller ’secondary’ conditions that round out this situation. The biggest of these is the exclusion of any team that has a below average offense.

My fundamental ratings of team offense and defense are based on yards-per-play stats that have been adjusted for the strength of opponents faced. As an example: a team that has achieved an average of 6.2 yards-per-pass play versus a group of opponents that normally allow 6.6 yards-per-pass play, will have a POF rating of -0.40 (6.6 - 6.2). In the case of this particular situation, I am eliminating those teams where ROF + POF (total offense) is less than 0. This effectively reduces the record for this trend to176-80 (68.8%) ATS.

The full list of all 7 conditions involved with this situation and its associated stats are listed below.

(Notes: ASMR stands for Average Spread Margin Rating. A positive rating indicates a trend that is stronger than average versus the line, negative–weaker than average. TDIS% is the percentage of teams in the league that have been involved in this situation at one time or another. WT% is the percentage of teams that are .500 or better and SPR is the average spread for teams in this situation. For more details, please consult Page 13 of my 2007 NFL Game Sheets Guide.)

Situational Trend #89 Summary

Primary Conditions (Building Blocks)

1) Straight-up Winning % (SU WP) >= .600.

2) Team Momentum Indicator (TMI) > Opponents TMI.

3) Opponent Turn-Over Differential (TOD) > 0.

4) Kick-Off Return Yardage Average For (KRYF) > 22.

Secondary Conditions (Tighteners)

1) Exclude Below Average Offense (ROF + POF).

2) Exclude Punt Return Yardage Average For (PRYF) > 12.

3) Week < 20.

Situation Stats

ASMR: +0.0

Home%: 64.8

Dog%: 25.4

TDIS%: 87.5

WT%: 100.0

SPR: -3.90

Top Teams: PIT(22); NE(18); SD(17); DEN(16)

Situation Records

Overall (Since ‘94): 141-45 ATS

2007 Season: 24-6 ATS

2006 Season: 8-3 ATS

2005 Season: 18-7 ATS

2004 Season: 13-6 ATS

Last 3 Results. Pick in Brackets.

2007 WK19–NYG 21 DAL 17 (NYG +7) W

2007 WK19–NE 31 JAC 20 (NE -13) L

2007 WK18–SD 17 TEN 6 (SD -10) W



JESS

Freddie Brister asked:


Human beings raise above all the species of the Animal Kingdom. We are the most intellectual creatures as we can rationalize; show emotions, do logical tasks, speak with words and many skills that are evident to every person living. Despite it all, animals symbolically represent the characteristics of the humankind. Sometimes, animals are personified in statements. This figure of speech is not only important in making poetry. However, they are used to rationalize the strengths within humans. Moreover, there is no other way to describe them but through animals.

In the field of sports, a group of men forming a team creates logos in their uniforms to represent them as a whole. All of their qualities are being backed up by a particular creature abundant in their hometowns or what they can see the best to describe their performance. One of the commonly used symbols is the horse. These warm-blooded creatures are not only gifted with good equine intelligence but they are also the symbolism of speed, agility and manhood. No wonder most sports in United States and across the world, utilize this creature as part of their logos.

Some of the teams that use them are:

1.Indianapolis Colts- Although they do not have the shape of the horse on their logo, they used a horseshoe for it. Their name is derived from its male variety. This was the former Baltimore team. They were one of the first 11 members when NFL was founded. They changed their name as such because of the financial difficulties they faced from their loss.
2.Cornwall Colts- This is a hockey team from Canada. They were the champions for the Bogart Cup, 4 times in 1995-1996 and 2000-2001.They also won the Fred Cup but never got a title to the Royal Bank Cup.

3.Denver Broncos- The team from Denver Colorado founded in 1959. They have two logos with horses in it. All are in the shades of orange and blue. In the early days, they never had titles in the AFC but in 1997-98, they became the Super bowl Champions.

Horses are not only used to represent teams in baseball, football or hockey. They are used as a symbol for luxury cars. The famous Ferrari, the famous Italian sports car, uses a black stallion with shield as their symbol. They are also famous for their sleek and **** automobile appearance with speed you cannot get in your ordinary cars. Ford Mustang is also one of the to-die for cars that you can get. It is one of the so-called “dream cars” for many men. Their famous logo is a mustang running wild. This car is also used for racing. If you have one of this, whether old or not, you will be glad to have it overhauled. Moreover, when you do, you can have people will turn their heads upon hearing the roar of the engine.

Horses are good representation for any team sports like football. Indianapolis Colts, Cornwall and Denver Broncos are just some of the professionals using their logo. Moreover, as for cars, well most of them using horses as logo are built for speed. Therefore, if you want to be the next fast and the furious on your streets think horses.



TIMOTHY

Rick Grantham asked:


Have you ever seen any pirates while spending time in Tampa Bay? In all probably, you have not. The regional pirate legends influenced the team becoming the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. A special board reviewed 400 team name options, before settling on “Buccaneers.” Each NFL has a story behind its name. While the origin of some names is self-explanatory, others are more storied or obscure:

1. Chicago Bears

In 1921, the Decatur Staleys moved to Chicago, Illinois. Chicago already had a baseball team named the cubs. So owner George Halas chose “Bears” instead, as football is a much more rugged sport than baseball is.

2. Cleveland Browns

A man named Paul Brown served as the Browns’ first head coach and general manager. The original Browns team later moved to Baltimore (1996), becoming the Baltimore Ravens. Three years later (1999), a new Cleveland Browns emerged as an NFL expansion team.

3. Indianapolis Colts
The Miami Seahawks relocated to Baltimore, Maryland, in 1946. A man named Charles Evans won a name-the-team contest, by choosing the name “Colts.” Maryland is renowned for its racehorses, so why did Evans choose the term that refers to a young male horse? His argument was that the Baltimore football team would be the youngest team in the league. Furthermore, he noted that “Colts” was easy to say and include in the headlines of newspapers. When the team moved to Indianapolis in 1984, it kept the name.

4. Atlanta Falcons

The city of Atlanta, Georgia is not renowned for falcons. So, how was the team named after the regal bird? A teacher named Julia Elliot won a name-the-team contest for the new NFL team. Elliot noted that various adjectives accurately described the falcon:

? courage

? deadly

? dignified

? proud

? sporting

Thus, the new Atlanta NFL team would take off as the Falcons.

5. Green Bay Packers

The story behind the Packers’ name is certainly one of the most fascinating ones in the NFL. George Calhoun and Earl “Curly” Lambeau once talked in passing about forming a new football team. Within time, the idea became a reality. The employer of Lambeau, the Indian Packing Company, agreed to sponsor the team. They provided jerseys, football equipment, and a practice field. Due to the company’s contributions for launching the team, the name “Packers” was born.

6. Tennessee Titans

The Titans were figures in the mythology of ancient Greece, so how did they become linked to an NFL football team? After the team moved from Houston to Tennessee, the owner announced that the team would have a new nickname. He revealed that “Titans” was chosen because the Tennessee’s city Nashville was nicknamed the “Athens of the South.” During the 5th century B.C., Athens became ancient Greece’s primary city.

What is in a name? Regardless of the NFL team for which you cheer, knowing the team’s name will provide you with a better appreciation for the squad. Use official NFL merchandise to cheer on your favorite NFL team-whether it is the Bucs, Browns, or Bengals!



LOUIE

ATS Experts asked:


It feels like we’ve been here before. While the Texas Longhorns have never been a #1 team facing a top 10 Texas Tech team, it seems each year the Horns have entered a Tech game undefeated, the whispers have begun. “Maybe this is the year Tech upsets Texas and spoils their season.” The more things change, the more they stay the same.

 

After running through a gauntlet of #1 Oklahoma, #11 Missouri and #6 Oklahoma State, the chattering class seems to think that there is no possible way the Horns have enough fight left in them to withstand the offensive assault of Mike Leach’s Red Raiders. Not this year, not with the young Longhorns secondary. But is there really any hard evidence to suggest that the Raiders have the Longhorns number this season?

 

Shouldn’t the amazing test the Longhorns have just passed in their previous games be testament to how good they are? Since when does beating three top 10(ish) teams in a row mean that you are primed for an upset? Can’t a team just be really good? Is it just a case of us needing to find some kind of compelling storyline for this, their 3rd game presented by ESPN’s College GameDay in the past four weeks?

 

But could this year really be different? The Horns don’t have All-American corners the way it has in the past. Tech is learning to run the ball a little and actually seem to care about playing defense. But isn’t that argument just putting lipstick on a pig?

 

There is no arguing the fact that Graham Harrell  has slaughtered the Horns through the air the past two years, throwing for almost a thousand yards and completing 70% of his passes. But if it wasn’t enough in 2006 and 2007, why should it be enough now? Some think he may have an even bigger day (night) Saturday in Lubbock, considering the Horns will be running out two defensive backs who are so we behind the ears that their helmets even look extra shiny. But Deon Beasley and Curtis Brown kept OSU all-world receiver Dez Bryant to less than a hundred yards last week, and he didn’t even sniff the end zone. Michael Crabtree is just as good as Bryant, no doubt, but what makes people think he can double or triple the production of Bryant?

 

I think a lot of the love for Tech is coming simply from their scores last week. The Raiders had not beat anyone all year until getting over on Kansas in a big way last weekend, but that score was not really indicative of the game. Todd Reesing threw three interceptions in the span of just a few minutes, making the final a foregone conclusion. And had Texas been able to punch the ball in on their final 4th and goal, they would have won by double digits against a good OSU team, and people would probably be thinking the Longhorns were unstoppable. Greatness is in the eye of the beholder.

 

While Tech has done a better job of pressuring the quarterback and playing man coverage, they have not faced anyone on the level of Colt McCoy. They won’t be getting gift-wrapped interceptions from the Heisman front-runner. If they do, then this game will probably fall to Tech. But, again, what makes us think we will see anything different this week than we have seen all season, or the past decade?

 

Over the past three weeks, against that brutal schedule, McCoy averaged 335 yards in the air and completed 85 percent of his passes, moving him up to second in the nation in passing efficiency. And during that time he has only thrown one interception. And I can tell you that Tech’s defense does not come close to the level of OU’s, which McCoy carved to pieces. Offensive coordinator Greg Davis is running four receiver sets, spreading the field and using slashing routes over the middle. The passing game for Texas still isn’t vertical, but gone are the days of 10 wide receiver screens in one half.

 

The Horns have looked amazing on defense, under the crazed enthusiastic leadership of Will Muschamp but did fall off a bit on the tackling department against the Cowboys, giving up 125 extra yards after missed tackles last week. But that slip-up could not have come at a better time. You can bet your house on the fact that Muschamp has been coaching his guys up all week, getting in their faces, letting them know about their failures against OSU. He knows how to relate to players, and you can guarantee they will step up to try and make their coach proud.

 

The Raiders are as good as they have ever been. But so are the Longhorns. While it seems **** to take the Raiders in an upset in the biggest game in school history, my feeling is that you don’t bet against the best until they have been proven to be not the best.



PEDRO

Jeff asked:


Based in the New York metropolitan area — the Jets are a professional football team which was established in 1960, he started out as part of the American football league Eastern division, a venture which lasted about nine years (1969), from 1970 until today they have played under the American football conference East division where they have had a great deal of accomplishments and successes. Their home stadiums are and have been: the Polo Grounds, Shea Stadium and the Giants Stadium which is also know as the Meadowlands.

Championships and Important Moments:

The New York Jets have been a very successful professional football franchise which ones were generally known as the New York Titans, the team is also known by the general nickname “Gang Green” — even though the team doesn’t have a conference championship they are able to compensate for it with four division championships, they were AFL division champions in two consecutive years 1968 and 1969, they were also AFC East division champions in 1998 and 2002. To complement their great record they can also say that they were the AFL- NFL Super Bowl champions of the 1968 season when they went up against the Baltimore Colts and ultimately defeated them by a score of 16 to seven at the Miami Orange bowl in Miami, Florida.

Quarterbacks in the current Roster:

– Brett Ratiff — Erik Ainge — Kellen Clemens — Chad Pennington

New York Jets Recent News:

June of 2008 was a significant month for the New York Jets franchise as Jay Cross, the current president of the team resigned his charge in order to accept a position as president of related Hudson yards. The Jets named Mike Tannenbaum as Executive Vice President General manager, Matt Higgins as the executive VP of business operations and Tadd Sheely as the executive VP of stadium development and finance. As you can imagine this changes don’t really affect the players but the way the team is organized and marketed but it has always been a given that a change in management tends to alter certain aspects of any franchise, let’s hope that this changes work for the greater good of the team. The 2008 season is expected to be quite excellent for the Jets which is why their tickets will not be available for very long once they hit the market.



ALFRED

crs5086 asked:

Youth Football

BURT

Gen Wright asked:


The Oklahoma Sooners represent the University of Oklahoma in Norman, Oklahoma. All teams in the Oklahoma University are given the nickname ?Sooners? which came from the name given to the people who participated in the land rushes that opened in the Oklahoma Indian Territory. This land rushes was opened to non-natives who illegally claimed choice land by coming early before the legal time of entry. This is why they were called ?sooners?. The Sooners first played football in 1895. The Sooners home stadium is the Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium and the field name is Owen Field in honor of Bennie Owen. The official mascot of the team is Sooner Schooner. The current coach of the team is Bob Stoops who was with the team when they earned their mmost recent title in 2000, the Orange Bowl title.

Championships and Important Moments:

The Sooners have been playing football even before Oklahoma became a state. Constant accomplishment through time has been the tradition of the Oklahoma football team. They have a very successful legacy and have won numerous awards and titles. They won 7 National Championships. These are in 1950, 1955, 1956, 1974, 1975, 1985 and 2000. They have claimed national championships than any other Big 12 program. They have 41 Conference Titles, the last of which is in 2007. The team have 5 Big 12 Conference Titles and 6 Big 12 South Division Titles. The Big 12 conference were won in 2000, 2002, 2004, 2006 and 2007 and the south division titles were won in years 2000, 20002, 2003, 2004, 2006 and 2007. They had 41 bowl appearances and an all-time bowl record of 24-16-1. The team won 7 Associated Press National Championships. With all these titles and awards, they have become the most decorated football team in the Big 12. The Sooners players have also won numerous awards such as 144 All-Americans, 4 Heisman trophies, 5 Outland trophies, 3 Lombardi awards, 18 college football Hall of Fame, 2 Pro football Hall of Fame, and many more.

Quarterbacks in the current Roster:

– John Nimmo ? Ben Sherrard ? Landry Jones ? Sam Bradford ? Joey Halzle

Oklahoma Sooners Recent News:

The Oklahoma Sooners is set to play with Texas Tech on November 22, 2008 at 7:00p.m at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman. The winner has a big chance of winning the Big 12 South title. Next week’s match could also be a big factor in the heisman race. Sam Bradford, Oklahoma Sooners’ quarteback is currently in the running for the trophy, along with Texas Tech’s Graham Harell and Colt McCoy. Oklahoma University has a record 9-1 overall and 5-1 Big 12. They spent this week preparing for Texas Tech. Coach Bob Stoops said about the upcoming game with Texas Tech that they have to make sure that they get a lot of work in this week to be as familiar as can be with them, while still healing up and get some fresh legs as they go in the last two games.



FERNANDO

Julie Smith asked:


Peyton and Eli Manning are two NFL players that happen to be brothers and that happen to have a father whose name is known within the NFL world: Archie Manning. He used to be part of this beautiful sport as he used to be a quarterback for the New Orleans Saints. But these two brothers play for different teams: Peyton plays for the Indianapolis Colts and Eli, who is the younger brother plays for the New York Giants.

These two quarterbacks had to play face to face last Sunday, when the Indianapolis Colts visited the New York Giants in an inter-conference battle.

Peyton is a two-time NFL MVP and a six-time Pro Bowler. Last season he threw for 3,747 yards and 28 touchdowns with just 10 interceptions for a rating of 104.1. Meanwhile Eli has passed for 3,762 yards and 24 touchdowns with 17 interceptions for a quarterback rating of 75.9 in his second year in the league.

But last Sunday, Peyton excelled by getting four field goals by Adam Vinatieri to escape with a 26-21 triumph in the highly anticipated marquee game of the league’s opening weekend.

The Indianapolis Colts were leading 13-0 and 16-7 in the first half as Peyton Manning threw a second-quarter touchdown pass to tight end Dallas Clark and Vinatieri provided three field goals. But the New York Giants didn’t wilt. They played efficiently all along, with tailback Tiki Barber amassing 110 rushing yards and backup Brandon Jacobs 54 more, and Eli Manning threw touchdown passes to wide receiver Plaxico Burress in the second quarter and tight end Jeremy Shockey in the third quarter.

When Brandon Jacobs ran for a one-yard touchdown with just more than eight minutes to play to match the one-yard touchdown by Colts tailback Dominic Rhodes earlier in the fourth quarter, the New York Giants were within 23-21. But Eli Manning threw an interception to Indianapolis Colts’ cornerback Nick Harper on the Giants’ next possession. That came one play after a controversial offensive pass interference call on wide receiver Tim Carter negated a first down. That led to Vinatieri’s fourth field goal, from 32 yards, with 1 minute 12 seconds to go, and the Giants ran out of time on their last-gasp drive.

Peyton Manning who completed 25 of 41 passes for 276 yards with one interception, said he was proud of his brother, that he enjoyed watching Eli playing in person and that his younger brother was as good as he looked on TV.

Eli completed 20 of 34 passes for 247 yards, losing a fumble in addition to his one interception.



DONOVAN

wnou asked:

RadioNow’s Shannon learns the basics of football from the Indianapolis Colts!

ANTONY

18mcguire asked:

one game one dream

NOEL