Betting the Nfl: Opening Week (sept. 6-10) Trends
Wednesday, October 14th, 2009
Karol Lucan asked:
THURSDAY, SEPT. 6
New Orleans at Indianapolis: The Saints have covered four of their last five meetings with the Colts but Indianapolis has been strong out of the gate, notching a 6-1-1 mark against the spread (ATS) in its last eight season openers.
SUNDAY, SEPT. 9
Denver at Buffalo: The Broncos have been a solid road favorite over the past four seasons, notching an 11-7-1 mark ATS. Buffalo is 7-1 ATS at home preceding back-to-back road games. The Bills head to Pittsburgh and New England after hosting Denver.
Pittsburgh at Cleveland: The Steelers have covered seven straight games against the Browns, including four in a row in Cleveland. The Browns are 2-9 as division underdogs of seven points or less. The line opened with Pittsburgh favored by a field goal.
Philadelphia at Green Bay: The Eagles have covered seven of their last eight meetings with the Packers, including three straight in Green Bay. The Packers are 1-7 as a home underdog the last four years, including 0-5 last season, and are 1-7 ATS their last eight home games against non-conference foes.
Kansas City at Houston: Houston is 1-5 ATS at home against a non-division opponent in September but Kansas City is a pathetic 1-10 ATS as a non-conference road favorite. The Chiefs opened as a 1-point underdog but the line could switch so watch this one closely.
Tennessee at Jacksonville: Jacksonville has covered eight consecutive openers. Forget about the money line; the straight up (SU) winner also is 22-2 ATS in the Tennessee-Jacksonville series.
Atlanta at Minnesota: The Falcons are 4-1 ATS their last five games versus the Vikings, including 3-1 their last four trips to Minnesota. Atlanta is 16-10-1 ATS in season openers since 1980.
New England at New York Jets: The Patriots have covered five of their last six encounters with the Jets and have a streak of eight straight pointspread wins against them in New York. New England also is 16-8 ATS versus the division the past four years.
Carolina at St. Louis: The Panthers have covered the spread four games in a row against the Rams. Since 1980, St. Louis is 7-13-1 ATS as an opening game favorite.
Miami at Washington: The Redskins have covered four of their last five meetings with the Dolphins but Miami also is 7-1 ATS on the road versus non-conference foes.
Detroit at Oakland: The Raiders have covered four of their last five meetings with the Lions. Since 1980, Oakland is 7-2 ATS in home openers.
Chicago at San Diego: The Bears have covered four straight games versus the Chargers and own the AFC West with a remarkable 17-2-1 record ATS the last 20 meetings. Chicago is 7-3 ATS as an underdog in season openers the last 27 years.
Tampa Bay at Seattle: The Buccaneers are 1-7 ATS versus non-conference opponents their last eight and are 1-3 ATS versus the Seahawks their last four meetings. Seattle is 17-3 ATS in September versus less than .500 SU competition.
New York Giants at Dallas: The Giants are undefeated (5-0-1 ATS) in their last six games against the Cowboys and are 3-1-1 ATS versus them in Dallas. The Cowboys are 6-7 ATS as a favorite on opening day.
MONDAY, SEPT. 10
Baltimore at Cincinnati: The Bengals have covered four of their last five against the Ravens. The favorite in the Ravens-Bengals series (Cincinnati opened -3) is 6-1 the last seven games. Baltimore is 13-11 ATS on Monday Night Football, including 2-4 as a road underdog. Cincy is 5-10 ATS on MNF, including 1-1 as a home favorite.
Arizona at San Francisco: The Cardinals have covered three of their last four meetings with the Niners. Since 1980, Arizona is 2-6 ATS on Monday Night Football, but has never been a road underdog. With an ATS record of 33-13-1, San Francisco is the champion of MNF. The Niners are a superb 16-5-1 in the role of home favorite.
Are the above Sportsbook busters guaranteed? Of course not. But historians point out that by studying the past we’re better equipped to predict the future. That may be true for sports betting, too.
This article was written by Karol Lucan for http://www.thegreek.com-The Greek Sportsbook & Casino is host to one of the top online sportsbooks offering sports betting on NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL and all other major sports. The Greek is a must have sports betting and entertainment portal with one of the largest wagering menus available online. Article reproductions must include a link pointing to http://www.thegreek.com
RON
THURSDAY, SEPT. 6
New Orleans at Indianapolis: The Saints have covered four of their last five meetings with the Colts but Indianapolis has been strong out of the gate, notching a 6-1-1 mark against the spread (ATS) in its last eight season openers.
SUNDAY, SEPT. 9
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Denver at Buffalo: The Broncos have been a solid road favorite over the past four seasons, notching an 11-7-1 mark ATS. Buffalo is 7-1 ATS at home preceding back-to-back road games. The Bills head to Pittsburgh and New England after hosting Denver.
Pittsburgh at Cleveland: The Steelers have covered seven straight games against the Browns, including four in a row in Cleveland. The Browns are 2-9 as division underdogs of seven points or less. The line opened with Pittsburgh favored by a field goal.
Philadelphia at Green Bay: The Eagles have covered seven of their last eight meetings with the Packers, including three straight in Green Bay. The Packers are 1-7 as a home underdog the last four years, including 0-5 last season, and are 1-7 ATS their last eight home games against non-conference foes.
Kansas City at Houston: Houston is 1-5 ATS at home against a non-division opponent in September but Kansas City is a pathetic 1-10 ATS as a non-conference road favorite. The Chiefs opened as a 1-point underdog but the line could switch so watch this one closely.
Tennessee at Jacksonville: Jacksonville has covered eight consecutive openers. Forget about the money line; the straight up (SU) winner also is 22-2 ATS in the Tennessee-Jacksonville series.
Atlanta at Minnesota: The Falcons are 4-1 ATS their last five games versus the Vikings, including 3-1 their last four trips to Minnesota. Atlanta is 16-10-1 ATS in season openers since 1980.
New England at New York Jets: The Patriots have covered five of their last six encounters with the Jets and have a streak of eight straight pointspread wins against them in New York. New England also is 16-8 ATS versus the division the past four years.
Carolina at St. Louis: The Panthers have covered the spread four games in a row against the Rams. Since 1980, St. Louis is 7-13-1 ATS as an opening game favorite.
Miami at Washington: The Redskins have covered four of their last five meetings with the Dolphins but Miami also is 7-1 ATS on the road versus non-conference foes.
Detroit at Oakland: The Raiders have covered four of their last five meetings with the Lions. Since 1980, Oakland is 7-2 ATS in home openers.
Chicago at San Diego: The Bears have covered four straight games versus the Chargers and own the AFC West with a remarkable 17-2-1 record ATS the last 20 meetings. Chicago is 7-3 ATS as an underdog in season openers the last 27 years.
Tampa Bay at Seattle: The Buccaneers are 1-7 ATS versus non-conference opponents their last eight and are 1-3 ATS versus the Seahawks their last four meetings. Seattle is 17-3 ATS in September versus less than .500 SU competition.
New York Giants at Dallas: The Giants are undefeated (5-0-1 ATS) in their last six games against the Cowboys and are 3-1-1 ATS versus them in Dallas. The Cowboys are 6-7 ATS as a favorite on opening day.
MONDAY, SEPT. 10
Baltimore at Cincinnati: The Bengals have covered four of their last five against the Ravens. The favorite in the Ravens-Bengals series (Cincinnati opened -3) is 6-1 the last seven games. Baltimore is 13-11 ATS on Monday Night Football, including 2-4 as a road underdog. Cincy is 5-10 ATS on MNF, including 1-1 as a home favorite.
Arizona at San Francisco: The Cardinals have covered three of their last four meetings with the Niners. Since 1980, Arizona is 2-6 ATS on Monday Night Football, but has never been a road underdog. With an ATS record of 33-13-1, San Francisco is the champion of MNF. The Niners are a superb 16-5-1 in the role of home favorite.
Are the above Sportsbook busters guaranteed? Of course not. But historians point out that by studying the past we’re better equipped to predict the future. That may be true for sports betting, too.
This article was written by Karol Lucan for http://www.thegreek.com-The Greek Sportsbook & Casino is host to one of the top online sportsbooks offering sports betting on NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL and all other major sports. The Greek is a must have sports betting and entertainment portal with one of the largest wagering menus available online. Article reproductions must include a link pointing to http://www.thegreek.com
RON
