Archive for October, 2009

Buy, Watch Or Pass - Week 9

Friday, October 2nd, 2009
Alex The Great asked:

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Buy, Watch or Pass

Every week, I will examine some of the more obscure top performers in Fantasy Football. Here are the names I came across in Week 9:

QB’s

Jake Plummer, Denver Broncos 227 pass yds, 3 TD’s

While Jake Plummer isn’t really an obscure name, he more than likely is available in a good majority of leagues due to his poor start of this season. Before his game on Week 8, it was reported that if Plummer struggled the next 2 weeks, then he would be benched in favor of rookie first round pick Jay Cutler. Apparently that was all the motivation Plummer needed, as he was much improved for the second straight week against a tough Steelers defense. Is it time to jump on the bandwagon? I’m going to say not yet. The schedule isn’t in his favor, so I need to see more before I decide. He has some nice matchups come fantasy playoff time, so let’s see how he does the next couple weeks to make sure he has returned to form. WATCH

David Garrard, Jacksonville Jaguars 177 pass yds, 3 TD’s

Byron Leftwich may be done as Jacksonville’s starting QB this year, and maybe even forever. And I quote from head coach Jack Del Rio, “A healthy guy that’s playing well is a no-brainer for me. His (Leftwich) ankle is 85 to 90 percent and it’s probably not going to get much better than that until he gets a long period of time off.” It certainly sounds to me like David Garrard is now the man and he has without doubt played well enough to earn it. He threw for 177 yards & 3 touchdowns against Tennessee on Sunday and has a 102.9 passer rating on the year. While it has only been 2 games, he has a weak schedule against secondaries & the tools on offense to become a top fantasy QB the rest of the way. If you own Byron Leftwich, pick up Garrard immediately. BUY if you own Byron Leftwich, WATCH for everyone else.

Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys 284 pass yds, 2 TD’s

I’ve talked a lot about Tony Romo in my past articles, yet, I look around and he is still available in a lot of leagues. He continued to shine on Sunday against the Redskins by completing 66% of his passes for 284 yards, 2 touchdowns and no interceptions. He now has a very nice 93.7 passer rating. He has nothing but weak to average secondaries the rest of the way. With the weapons he has, he will be an elite QB from here on out. What are you waiting for!? BUY

Damon Huard, Kansas City Chiefs 148 pass yds, 3 TD’s

Trent Green is nearing his return, but Damon Huard is continuing to put up solid numbers in his stead. With Larry Johnson running all over St. Louis on Sunday, Huard just needed to manage game, which is what he did. He threw only 15 passes, completed 10 for 148 yards & 3 TD’s. Since coming in for Green, Huard has posted a robust 105.2 passer rating and has the Chiefs in the thick of the playoff hunt. There are many people who question whether or not Green should return as the starter, but head coach Herm Edwards says most likely Green will be back Week 11 against Oakland. There is one more team on the Chiefs schedule that has a mediocre secondary, and that’s next week against Miami. If you need a fill in QB for next week, Huard makes an excellent choice. The secondaries get rough after that, so even if Huard stays as the starter, his value may decrease in a hurry. Keep your eye on him though, 105.2 passer ratings don’t grow on trees. BUY for this week’s matchup, everyone else should continue to WATCH

RB’s

Anthony Thomas, Buffalo Bills 95 rush yds, 1 TD

Willis McGahee went down on Sunday with a broken rib and Anthony Thomas came in and played very well. So you would think Thomas would get the start next week, but its possible McGahee could be back and starting. I have a hard time believing that he’ll be back that quickly, but you never know. In any case, Thomas goes up against a very weak rushing defense in Indianapolis, so he could have some good value. It should be noted that Buffalo could be so far behind before half time that he may not have many chances to run, so you’ll need to take that into consideration. Buffalo has 4 opponents remaining with weak rushing defenses; next week against Indy, Week 11 against Houston, Week 14 against the New York Jets & Week 16 against Tennessee. If Buffalo decides to shut down McGahee at some point this season, Thomas could be a nice asset to have. BUY if you are a McGahee owner, for everyone else, WATCH

Maurice Morris, Seattle Seahawks 138 rush yds

It took awhile, but Maurice Morris finally had his first good game as a starter on Monday night. He rushed for 138 yards on 30 carries against the pitiful Oakland Raiders. If you did own Morris, I’d hope the only reason was because you also own Shaun Alexander, who will be back next week against St. Louis. Even if Alexander re-injures himself, Morris is a mediocre backup at best. The usefulness of Morris has reached its end. PASS

WR’s

Devery Henderson, New Orleans Saints 111 rec yds, 2 TD’s

With Joe Horn out with a groin injury, Devery Henderson stepped in and played well. He hauled in 3 catches for 111 yards & 2 touchdowns. While he could have been a nice pickup if Horn was out for an extended period of time, that is not the case, as Horn is expected to come back next week. Drew Brees is throwing the ball around nicely in New Orleans, but you can’t be a beneficiary if you aren’t starting full time. PASS

Ernest Wilford, Jacksonville Jaguars 44 rec yds, 2 TD’s

Ernest Wilford began the season as a sleeper, but didn’t end up doing much until Sunday. Even with those 2 touchdowns, he only had 3 receptions. Wilford is a big body that is useful in goal line situations, but hasn’t shown much else besides that. With Garrard now throwing the ball Wilford may become useful down the stretch, but until more develops, he’s too much of a risk to start. WATCH

Braylon Edwards, Cleveland Browns 61 rec yds, 1 TD

After 4 weeks into the season, Braylon Edwards had 324 yards on 20 catches & 1 TD. Most of us thought he was on his way to becoming a star, but has been anything but that since then. During his next three games, Edwards had 54 yards on 7 catches & zero touchdowns. Well, Mr. Edwards has finally shown up again, hauling in 6 catches for 61 yards and a touchdown on Sunday. While I can’t say he’s back, it was nice to see he still knows how to play football. I can’t entirely blame him, with a mediocre offensive line & young quarterback; a lot of offensive players have struggled in Cleveland this year. His schedule the rest of the way isn’t all that bad, so he might be a surprise player down the stretch if Cleveland’s offense has figured things out again. Keep an eye out for him if he’s available. WATCH

Do you have questions regarding your Fantasy Team? Send them to Alex The Great at http://sports.enterto.com/ask_alex.html. Every week I will answer a couple questions and post them directly at http://sports.enterto.com

This article is dedicated to the most charismatic and heroic king of all times!



ENRIQUE

Marvin Harrison 1996 Draft Day Pick

Thursday, October 1st, 2009
Bob Johnson asked:


Marvin Harrison was born on August 25, 1972 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. At 6 feet tall and weighing 185 pounds Harrison is far from the biggest and strongest wide receiver in the NFL. But with that being said, he has always been able to do a lot with what he has. For this reason many people feel that Harrison is one of the best wide receivers of today, and may very well end up being the best of all time.

After a successful career at Roman Catholic High School in Philadelphia, Harrison decided to take this game to Syracuse University. During his time at Syracuse he set numerous records, and made a name for himself across the college football world. Thanks to his great play on the field and high quality character off of it, NFL scouts began to take notice of him early on.
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With the 19th pick of the 1996 NFL Draft the Indianapolis Colts picked Harrison. Although 18 other teams passed him by, this does not stop Harrison from performing at his peak from the moment that he set foot on an NFL field.

In his first season with the Colts Harrison took the league by storm. He finished the 1996 season with 64 receptions for 836 yards. He also added eight touchdowns during this season. Ever since then Harrison has been putting up equally impressive numbers year in and year out. Perhaps his best season ever was in 2002 when he pulled in 143 balls for more than 1,700 yards.

Although Marvin Harrison has compiled gaudy individual statistics, he is also known as one of the best team players in the NFL as well. This is evident by the way that he helped to lead the Colts to a win in the Super Bowl at the end of the 2006 season. With a few more years left in the tank it is safe to say that Harrison will finish his career ranked at the top of most statistical categories for wide receivers.



ANTONY

Defense Wins Super Bowls

Thursday, October 1st, 2009
Robert Ferringo asked:


I often say that football is a violent, brutal game. So, quite naturally, the team that is more violent and brutal will usually win. Only the strong survive, and this maxim has borne itself out time and time again from the bloody core of this beloved, gladiatorial sport.

The standard-bearer for gridiron ********* over the past quarter-century was the 1985-86 Chicago Bears. That team redefined what it meant to dominate with defense and forged a blueprint that has been followed by such recent organizations as Pittsburgh, New England, Tampa Bay and Baltimore.

In 1985 the Monsters of the Midway had the NFL’s top-rated defense in both scoring and yards allowed. They rode that classic unit to three postseason wins by a combined 91-10 score, including a 46-10 maiming of New England in Super Bowl XX.

In the 21 years since the 1985 season kicked off there has not been a single Super Bowl champion that finished the regular season ranked lower than ninth in scoring defense. Twelve of those 21 champions boasted a defense rated in the top three in points allowed, and No. 1 units were a flawless 6-0. Further, of the two Super Bowl combatants the team that allowed fewer points per game during the regular season is 18-3 straight up.

I mean, I haven’t uncovered some Rosetta Stone to NFL success here. If you give up less points, you win. Easy enough. I’m just pointing out what a fantastic indicator that one regular season stat has been at predicting the Super Bowl victor (85.7 percent).

Also, there have been only three teams in the past 21 seasons that had a defense ranked outside of the Top 10 in total yardage and went on to win the title. Those three exceptions – New England in 2001, Denver in 1998 and Washington in 1987 – each had scoring defenses ranked in the league’s top eight, subscribing to the bend-but-don’t-break school.
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The average defensive ranking for the past 21 Super Bowl champions was fourth in points allowed and sixth in yards allowed.

All of this is pertinent because the difference between the Chicago Bears defense and the Indianapolis Colts defense is about as prominent as the difference between Maria Sharapova and Star Jones.

The Bears have overwhelmed foes this year and have had the best unit in the NFL over the past two seasons. This year they were ranked third in scoring (15.9 points per game) and sixth in total yards (295.1 per game). Conversely, the Colts D was a dismal 23rd in scoring (22.5 ppg) and 21st in yardage (332.2 ypg).

I will give Indianapolis defenders credit for playing better lately. But you can definitely count me among those who are not completely sold on their defensive Renaissance. They allowed 34 points to the Patriots last week at home. Before that they shut down a toothless Ravens unit and a bumbling Chiefs offense that didn’t adjust its scheme and couldn’t get out of its own way.

Indianapolis has the worst rushing defense in the history of the NFL playoffs, and the images of Jacksonville rushing for nearly 400 yards in one game and Ron Dayne actually looking like a legit NFL back are still fresh in my memory. In nine games outside of the RCA Dome this season the Colts have surrendered an average of 34 rushes and 187 yards (5.4 yards per carry).

Therefore, based on the fact that an Indy victory in the Super Bowl with that defense would be unprecedented, it’s kind of hard to justify them as a seven-point favorite.

So I’ll leave you with this thought: explain to me what the difference is between this year’s Colts-Bears “mismatch” and other seemingly one-sided match-ups like the Rams-Patriots in 2002, the Broncos-Packers in 1998, and the Bills-Giants in 1991?

In each of those instances the club with the sexy, high-powered offense was at least a touchdown favorite against a team that was more physical and violent at its core. I don’t think I need to tell you how those three games worked out. Let’s just say that the strong survived.



RODGER